Compute mad and mape for management technique

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Sales of quilt covers at Bud Banis's department store in Carbondale over the past year are shown below. Management prepared a forecast using a combination of exponential smoothing and its collective judgment for the 4 months (March, April, May, and June):

MONTH

UNIT SALES

MANAGMENTS FORECAST

July

100

 

August

93

 

September

96

 

October

110

 

November

121

 

December

119

 

January

92

 

February

83

 

March

101

120

April

96

114

May

89

110

June

108

108

a) Compute MAD and MAPE for management's technique.

b) Do management's results outperform (i.e., have smaller MAD and MAPE than) a naive forecast?

c) Which forecast do you recommend, based on lower forecast error?

Reference no: EM131353469

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