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The Canadian unemployment rate as a percentage of the civilian labor force (seasonally adjusted) between 1974 and the third quarter of 1975 is shown below.
Quarter
Unemployment Rate
1974
1
5.4
2
5.3
3
4
5.6
1975
6.9
7.2
(a) Estimate unemployment in the fourth quarter of 1975 using a single moving average with k = 3.
(b) Repeat using single exponential smoothing with α = 0.7.
(c) Compare your two estimates using the accuracy statistics.
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