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An advertisement in the newspaper offers a new car for sale or lease.
The purchase price of the car is $43,240, or the car can be leased for 24 months for a monthly payment of $458, with a $7,500 down-payment. Under the lease option, there is a charge of 24 cents/mile for mileage above 30,000 miles for the 24 months, and a $550 security deposit, which is refundable at the end of the lease, must be deposited with the dealer. The car may be purchased at the end of the lease for $29,732. All other charges (taxes, maintenance, plates, etc.) are the same under both options.
Develop a simulation model to compare the net present value of buying or leasing the car for 24 months. To compare the two options a number of assumptions must be made. Assume that:
Use your simulation model to assess the probability that the lease option results in a lower net present value than does the purchase option.
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