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Cognitive biases that lead to intelligence failures

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When reading about intelligence failures and the hindsight bias faced by analysts and policy makers alike after so-called intelligence disasters. Looking at some of the universally agreed intelligence failures such as Pearl Harbor, dissolution of Soviet Union, September 11, WMD, fall of Iran's Shah, etc.

What are some ways analysts and policy makers can better prevent the cognitive biases that lead to intelligence failures (surprises)?

Please support with academic journal references.

Reference no: EM132167734

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