Chances of tertorism reaching a critical level

Reference no: EM13988449

Foreign policy experts estimate that the probability is 0.65 th at war will break out nex1 year between two Middle East countries if either side significantly escalates its terrorisr activities: Otherwise, the likelihood of war is estima ted to be 0.05. Based on what has happened this year, the chances of tertorism reaching a critical level in the next twelve mon ths are though t to be three i n ten. Wha t js the probability that the two countries will go to war?

Reference no: EM13988449

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