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Assignment:
Markham Hotel is considering expanding its meeting facility. The following table shows the 3 alternatives, the states of nature and their payoffs:
Alternative
Alt#
Low Demand
Medium Demand
High Demand
2,000m² facility
1
$13,000
$44,000
$57,000
3,000m² facility
2
-$19,000
$30,000
$98,000
1,000m² facility
3
$42,000
$33,000
1. What would be your choice if you were optimistic about the future? Write down the Alt# in the box:
2. What would be your choice if you were pessimistic about the future? Write down the Alt# in the box:
3. If you believed that there is equal chance for each state of nature to happen, what would be your choice? Write down the Alt# in the box:
Regret Table
Worst
D
G
J
M
E
H
K
N
F
I
L
O
Using minimax regret, find out the values of D to O:
(No need to write down the $ sign and the thousand separator; e.g. if your answer is $10,000, write down 10000)
D =
E =
F =
G =
H =
I =
J =
K =
L =
M =
N =
O =
If minimax regret is to be adopted, which alternative should be selected? Write down the alt# in the box:
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