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CASE STUDY (DATA ANALYSIS): You are part of a policy team in the state government investigating how to reduce driving fatalities. A large body of research documents some concerning facts about teenage drivers. Between 15% and 30% of teens have an accident in their first year of driving. Your team is tasked with evaluating an intervention that restricts driving privileges for teenage drivers. In 2007 New South Wales introduced a law that banned drivers in their first year of a provisional licence from carrying two or more passengers under the age of 21 between 11pm and 5am
QUESTION: One member of your team suggests looking at accidents for teenage drivers in 2006 and 2008 to determine the causal effect of the policy. Is this a good strategy? Why or why not? [max 200 words]
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