Reference no: EM133041055
Burger Lover Restaurant forecasts weekly sales of cheeseburgers.
Week
|
Cheeseburger Sales
|
1
|
356
|
2
|
341
|
3
|
359
|
4
|
323
|
5
|
355
|
Based on historical observations over the past five weeks, make a forecast for the next period using the following methods: simple average, three-period moving average, and exponential smoothing with α = 0.3, given a forecast of 335 cheeseburgers for the first week. (Round your answers to 2 decimal places,e.g. 250.25)
Simple average: F6 = enter forecast using simple average
3-Period moving average: F6 = enter forecast using 3-Period moving average
Exponential smoothing: F6 = enter forecast using exponential smoothing
If actual sales for week 6 turn out to be 362, compare the three forecasts using MAD. Which method performed best?
(Calculate your answers using the error only in period 6.)
MAD (simple average) = enter forecast using simple average of MAD
MAD (3-period moving average) = enter forecast using 3-period moving average of MAD
MAD (exponential smoothing) = enter forecast using exponential smoothing of MAD
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