Calculating forecasts monthly

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Maggie and Danny are having a demand forecasting contest. For the past twelve months, each has been using a no-trend exponential smoothing with alpha = 0.2, but Danny has been calculating his forecasts monthly, whereas Maggie updates weekly. Three months ago, there was a substantial drop in sales demand. Prior to that time there had been fluctuations around an average of 200 per week but now it seems to be nearer 100. Who is more likely to have an accurate sales forecast, given the recent drop? Why?

Reference no: EM132716215

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