Calculate the expected values of all alternatives

Assignment Help Operation Management
Reference no: EM13105066

For the payoff table below, the decision maker will use P(s1) = .15, P(s2) = .5, and P(s3) = .35.

State of Nature

Decision

s1

s2

s3

d1

-5,000

1,000

10,000

d2

-15,000

-2,000

40,000

a.      Calculate the expected values of all alternatives. What alternative would be chosen according to expected value?

b.      For a lottery having a payoff of 40,000 with probability p and -15,000 with probability (1-p), the decision maker expressed the following indifference probabilities.

Payoff

Probability

10,000

.85

1,000

.60

-2,000

.53

-5,000

.50

c.      
Calculate the Expected Utility for all alternatives

d.      What alternative would be chosen according to expected utility?

 

 

Reference no: EM13105066

Questions Cloud

Possible cost drivers for aircraft manufacturing firm : ABC Airlines has calculated the total costs (fixed and variable) for the passenger service flights between Los Angeles, California and Orlando, Florida. The two methods used were the high-low method and the least squared method.
Make the class employee to initializes three data members : Make the class called Employee which comprises three pieces of information as data membersa first name (type string), last name (type string) and monthly salary (type int).
Research different types of cultures : You are required to research different types of cultures in relation to Computing and IT: gaming culture, internet culture, and the impact that one culture of your choice has on the communication processes.
Determine the value of the game : Consider the following two-person zero-sum game. Assume the two players have the same two strategy options. The payoff table shows the gains for Player A.
Calculate the expected values of all alternatives : For the payoff table below, the decision maker will use P(s1) = .15, P(s2) = .5, and P(s3) = .35. Calculate the expected values of all alternatives. What alternative would be chosen according to expected value?
Test vlaue in the noncritical region : Doctors nationally believe that 68% of a certain type of operation are successful. In a particular hospital 47 of these operations were observed and 37 of them were successful. At a = 0.05 is this hospital's success rate different from the nationa..
Compute expected utility of decision alternatives : Mark M. Upp has just been fired as the university bookstore manager for setting prices too low (only 20 percent above suggested retail). He is considering opening a competing bookstore near the campus.
Explain statistical analysis you will need to perform : Elaborate in details illustrate what type of data are you going to collect, (quantitative and qualitative). Explain statistical analysis you will need to perform related to the outcome of focus groups.
Explain the data collection methods used in research project : Explain the data collection methods used in the research project. Illustrate what did the researchers conclude as a result of their research?

Reviews

Write a Review

Operation Management Questions & Answers

  Explain how might a global capital market function different

Explain how might a global capital market function differently from present-day international market.

  Illustrate what software tools are available to help plan

Describe a common process related to supply chain management. Illustrate what software tools are available to help plan the process.

  Which decision making tool would be used

Which decision making tool would be used in identifying possible causes for a problem?

  Describe how organizing affects personal

Describe how organizing affects personal AND organizational effectiveness, including recommendations for improvement.

  Abraham maslow sough to explain why people

Abraham Maslow sough to explain why people are diven by particular needs at particular times. How does Maslow's theory help marketers

  Solve the problem by rolling back the decision tree

Solve the problem by rolling back the decision tree. In the second gamble, you have a 40% chance of receiving $80, a 40% chance of receiving $60 also a 20% chance of receiving $50. Draw a decision tree to represent the problem. Solve the problem b..

  The probabilities associated with the states of nature

The probabilities associated with the states of nature are 0.25 for a big demand, 0.55 for an average demand, and 0.20 for a small demand.

  Decide the number of employees that would be needed

Decide the number of employees that would be needed. The ice cream sales record for the past 12 quarters is provided in a table below. To assist her with her plans, develop the following forecasting models.

  Linear programming model set objective function

A company produces two products which are processed on two assembly lines. Assembly line 1 has 100 available hours, and assembly line 2 has 42 hours. Propose linear programming model for this problem.

  How technical complexity affect organizational structure

Why is technical complexity greatest with continuous-process technology? How does technical complexity affect organizational structure?

  Estimates can be used as crash times

If it were necessary to crash to 250 or 240 days, explain how would Hill do so also at illustrate what costs. As noted in the case, Assume which optimistic time estimates can be used as crash times.

  What would be his expected procurement cost

Suppose Handi were to procure exclusively from the spot market? What would be his expected procurement cost? What would be his fill - rate in this arrangement? Also, what is the mismatch cost he incurs with this arrangement?

Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd