Calculate the expected return of an outcome

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Suppose you have just inherited $10 000 and are considering the following options for investing the money to maximize your return:

Option 1: Put the money in an interest-bearing chequing account that earns 2%. The CDIC insures the account against bank failure.

Option 2: Invest the money in a corporate bond with a stated return of 5%, although there is a 10% chance the company could go bankrupt.

Option 3: Loan the money to one of your friend's roommates, Mike, at an agreed-upon interest rate of 8%, even though you believe there is a 7% chance that Mike will leave town without repaying you.

Option 4: Hold the money in cash and earn zero return.

a. If you are risk-neutral (i.e., neither seek out nor shy away from risk), which of the four options should you choose to maximize your expected return? (Hint: To calculate the expected return of an outcome, multiply the probability that an event will occur by the outcome of that event.)

b. Suppose Option 3 and Option 4 are your only choices. If you could pay your friend $100 to find out extra information about Mike that would indicate with certainty whether he will leave town without paying, would you pay the $100? What does this say about the value of better information regarding risk?

Reference no: EM133275321

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