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Estimated Returns on Alternative Investments
State of Economy
Probability
T-Bills
High-Tech
Electronics
Collections
On Past due-debt
US Rubber
Tires& Rubber
Market Portfolio
Recession
0.1
8%
-22%
28%
10%
-13%
Below Average
0.2
8
-2
14.7
-10
1
Average
0.4
20
0
7
15
Above Average
35
45
29
Boom
50
-20
30
43
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