Calculate measurement error using MSE and MAD

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Reference no: EM131086668

The figures below indicate the number of mergers that took place in the savings and loan industry over a 12-year period.

Year Mergers	Year Mergers
2000	46
2001	46
2002	62
2003	45
2004	64
2005	61
2006	83
2007	123
2008	97
2009	186
2010	225
2011	240

a. Calculate a 5 year moving average for the number of mergers for 2012

b. Use the moving average technique to determine the forecast for 2005 to 2011. Calculate measurement error using MSE and MAD.

c. Calculate a 5-year weighted moving average to forecast the number of merg- ers for 2012. Use weights of 0.10, 0.15, 0.20, 0.25, and 0.30, with the most recent year weighted being the largest.

d. Use regression analysis to forecast the number of mergers in 2012.

Reference no: EM131086668

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