Reference no: EM132237859
Assignment - Scenario Analysis and Modelling
Details: The assignment consists of problems based on a scenario analysis.
Your answers must be provided in the word document attached; under each of the corresponding sections in the word document. Where mathematical calculations are required you must state the equation used as well as each step in your calculations. Marks are allocated to this process - please see the rubric. Where diagrams are required, they must be fully labelled - all axis, lines, intercepts, equilibrium positions, etc....
For required diagrams you can either draw directly in the word document using 'shapes' and 'text boxes' for labelling or you can draw the diagram free-hand on paper, take a photo and paste into the word document.
PROBLEM - Using the 2017 GDP data from assignment 1, determine the following assuming that the MPS is 0.3, the marginal tax rate is 0.05, autonomous taxes are $200,560.4 million and nx(m) is 0.04.
Furthermore, assume that 'Gross Fixed Capital Formation' represents planned investment while 'changes in inventories' represents unplanned investment..
Part (a) Calculate actual GDP for 2017 (solve to one decimal point).
Part (b) Calculate autonomous consumption (solve to one decimal point).
Part (c) Calculate autonomous imports (solve to one decimal point).
Part (d) Calculate autonomous net exports (solve to one decimal point).
Part (e) Calculate the expenditure and tax multipliers for the economy (solve to two decimal points).
Part (f) Calculate equilibrium GDP for 2017 (solve to one decimal point).
Part (g) If the government wants to close the GDP gap, calculate the change in spending (specify whether an increase or decrease) that would have to be undertaken (solve to one decimal point).
Part (h) If the central bank moves to close the GDP gap instead of the government, illustrate the effect of the policy action on the economy using both the AD-AS model and the IS-LM model. (Ensure you clearly display the original equilibrium position on each diagram as A and the new equilibrium position as B after the policy action).
As a result of the policy action, what will be the impact on:
1. economic activity
2. the unemployment rate
3. the price level
4. interest rates
Part (i) Briefly explain the potential benefits of using monetary policy rather than fiscal policy to stabilise the economy (200 word limit).
Part (j) Imagine that the trade war between the US and China escalates, and spreads to other nations, including Singapore. Discuss the potential costs and benefits for the Singapore economy (200 word limit).
Attachment:- Assignment Files.rar