Calculate expected value at every node

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A fast-food restaurant chain is considering a store expansion program. The most important factor to consider is next two year’s level of interest rate. It is estimated that there is a 30% chance that it goes up, a 50% chance that it stays same, and a 20% chance that it goes down. The strategies and corresponding expected payoffs (profit) are

            Rate goes-up   Rate stays same   Rate goes-down

                                                (30%)               (50%)                 (20%)

Build 10 new places        -$300,000             $50,000                 $250,000

Build 5 new places           -$150,000             $26,000                 $80,000

Do nothing                             $70,000             0                              $25,000

Draw a decision tree. Calculate expected value at every node. What should they do?

Reference no: EM131719960

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