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Consider the following scenario analysis:
Rate of Return
Scenarrio Probability Stocks Bonds
Recession .20 −5 % 19 %
Normal economy .70 20 10
Boom .10 32 9
a. Is it reasonable to assume that Treasury bonds will provide higher returns in recessions than in booms?
Yes
No
b. Calculate the expected rate of return and standard deviation for each investment. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answers as a percent rounded to 1 decimal place.) Expected Rate of Return_________Standard Deviation
Stocks
Bonds
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What is the present value/valuation of the following?
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