Reference no: EM132492695
Assessment: Statistical Group Report-Risk, Return & Equity Analysis
Question 1: Using the information given in Exhibit 1,calculate the historical returns for each company and the market index. With the use of the excel functions, calculate the average monthly return and standard deviation of returns for each company and the market index.
Month
|
Market index (points)
|
Land Ltd ($)
|
Sea Ltd ($)
|
Market In
|
Land Ltd
|
Sea Ltd
|
1
|
5600
|
10
|
16.12
|
0.02142857
|
-0.04
|
0.04652605
|
2
|
5720
|
9.6
|
16.87
|
0.01573427
|
-0.0625
|
0.05927682
|
3
|
5810
|
9
|
17.87
|
0.02237522
|
-0.03333333
|
-0.04196978
|
4
|
5940
|
8.7
|
17.12
|
-0.01262626
|
0.045977011
|
0.0146028
|
5
|
5865
|
9.1
|
17.37
|
-0.01653879
|
0.054945055
|
0.04317789
|
6
|
5768
|
9.6
|
18.12
|
0.04282247
|
-0.03125
|
0.04856512
|
7
|
6015
|
9.3
|
19
|
0.01995012
|
-0.04301075
|
-0.07894737
|
8
|
6135
|
8.9
|
17.5
|
-0.01059495
|
0.08988764
|
0.03542857
|
9
|
6070
|
9.7
|
18.12
|
0.0214168
|
0.051546392
|
0.04139073
|
10
|
6200
|
10.2
|
18.87
|
0.0233871
|
-0.05392157
|
0.02013778
|
11
|
6345
|
9.65
|
19.25
|
-0.0323089
|
0.082901554
|
-0.09090909
|
12
|
6140
|
10.45
|
17.5
|
0.01710098
|
-0.03827751
|
0.03542857
|
13
|
6245
|
10.05
|
18.12
|
0.03122498
|
-0.04975124
|
0.04856512
|
14
|
6440
|
9.55
|
19
|
0.01863354
|
-0.05235602
|
0.01315789
|
15
|
6560
|
9.05
|
19.25
|
-0.02591463
|
0.077348066
|
0.01298701
|
16
|
6390
|
9.75
|
19.5
|
-0.02816901
|
0.082051282
|
0.02564103
|
17
|
6210
|
10.55
|
20
|
0.02657005
|
-0.04265403
|
0.0525
|
18
|
6375
|
10.1
|
21.05
|
0.01803922
|
-0.03960396
|
0.04513064
|
19
|
6490
|
9.7
|
22
|
0.01694915
|
-0.0257732
|
0.02272727
|
20
|
6600
|
9.45
|
22.5
|
-0.01666667
|
0.052910053
|
-0.02666667
|
21
|
6490
|
9.95
|
21.9
|
-0.01617874
|
0.050251256
|
-0.07305936
|
22
|
6385
|
10.45
|
20.3
|
0.01801096
|
0.052631579
|
0.06896552
|
23
|
6500
|
11
|
21.7
|
0.02384615
|
0.031818182
|
0.05529954
|
24
|
6655
|
11.35
|
22.9
|
0.01728024
|
0.035242291
|
0.05240175
|
25
|
6770
|
11.75
|
24.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
Returns
|
0.19577186
|
0.195078746
|
0.43035786
|
|
|
Average
|
Returns
|
0.00815716
|
0.008128281
|
0.01793158
|
|
|
Variance of returns
|
0.00045941
|
0.002926346
|
0.00211138
|
|
|
Standard Deviation
|
0.0214339
|
0.054095713
|
0.04594971
|
Question 2: Using the Question 1 above, and assuming that investors can only invest in one of the two alternative shares in Exhibit 1, use the average return and standard deviation to determine which share would be the most appropriate for a risk-averse investor. Provide numerical justification for your selection based on the coefficient of variation.
|
|
Market Ind |
Land Ltd |
Sea Ltd |
Total returns |
0.328449 |
0.56448 |
0.835477 |
Average returns |
0.01564 |
0.02688 |
0.039785 |
Variance of returns |
0.000459 |
0.002926 |
0.002111 |
Standard deviation |
0.04583 |
0.063324 |
0.098126 |
Question 3: Calculate the covariance of returns and correlation coefficient between all shares. Provide an explanation of your results and the implications for diversification.
C Co-variance of returns
|
|
Co-variance of returns
|
|
Co-variance of returns
|
Market Index versus Land
|
|
|
Sea Ltd versus Land Ltd
|
|
Sea Ltd versus Market Index
|
Market Index
|
Land Ltd
|
|
Sea Ltd
|
Land Ltd
|
|
Sea Ltd
|
Market Index
|
|
0.021428571
|
-0.04
|
|
0.04652605
|
-0.04
|
|
0.046526
|
0.021429
|
|
0.015734266
|
-0.0625
|
|
0.05927682
|
-0.0625
|
|
0.059277
|
0.015734
|
|
0.022375215
|
-0.0333333
|
|
-0.04196978
|
-0.03333333
|
|
-0.04197
|
0.022375
|
|
-0.01262626
|
0.04597701
|
|
0.0146028
|
0.045977011
|
|
0.014603
|
-0.01263
|
|
-0.01653879
|
0.05494505
|
|
0.04317789
|
0.054945055
|
|
0.043178
|
-0.01654
|
|
0.042822469
|
-0.03125
|
|
0.04856512
|
-0.03125
|
|
0.048565
|
0.042822
|
|
0.019950125
|
-0.0430108
|
|
-0.07894737
|
-0.04301075
|
|
-0.07895
|
0.01995
|
|
-0.01059495
|
0.08988764
|
|
0.03542857
|
0.08988764
|
|
0.035429
|
-0.01059
|
|
0.021416804
|
0.05154639
|
|
0.04139073
|
0.051546392
|
|
0.041391
|
0.021417
|
|
0.023387097
|
-0.0539216
|
|
0.02013778
|
-0.05392157
|
|
0.020138
|
0.023387
|
|
-0.0323089
|
0.08290155
|
|
-0.09090909
|
0.082901554
|
|
-0.09091
|
-0.03231
|
|
0.017100977
|
-0.0382775
|
|
0.03542857
|
-0.03827751
|
|
0.035429
|
0.017101
|
|
0.03122498
|
-0.0497512
|
|
0.04856512
|
-0.04975124
|
|
0.048565
|
0.031225
|
|
0.01863354
|
-0.052356
|
|
0.01315789
|
-0.05235602
|
|
0.013158
|
0.018634
|
|
-0.02591463
|
0.07734807
|
|
0.01298701
|
0.077348066
|
|
0.012987
|
-0.02591
|
|
-0.02816901
|
0.08205128
|
|
0.02564103
|
0.082051282
|
|
0.025641
|
-0.02817
|
|
0.026570048
|
-0.042654
|
|
0.0525
|
-0.04265403
|
|
0.0525
|
0.02657
|
|
0.018039216
|
-0.039604
|
|
0.04513064
|
-0.03960396
|
|
0.045131
|
0.018039
|
|
0.016949153
|
-0.0257732
|
|
0.02272727
|
-0.0257732
|
|
0.022727
|
0.016949
|
|
-0.01666667
|
0.05291005
|
|
-0.02666667
|
0.052910053
|
|
-0.02667
|
-0.01667
|
|
-0.01617874
|
0.05025126
|
|
-0.07305936
|
0.050251256
|
|
-0.07306
|
-0.01618
|
|
0.018010963
|
0.05263158
|
|
0.06896552
|
0.052631579
|
|
0.068966
|
0.018011
|
|
0.023846154
|
0.03181818
|
|
0.05529954
|
0.031818182
|
|
0.0553
|
0.023846
|
|
0.01728024
|
0.03524229
|
|
0.05240175
|
0.035242291
|
|
0.052402
|
0.01728
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-0.00090497
|
|
|
-0.00042865
|
|
|
0.000435
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Correlation Coefficient
|
Correlation Coefficient
|
Correlation Coefficient
|
|
Market Ind V Land Ltd
|
Sea Ltd V Land Ltd
|
|
|
Sea Ltd V Market Ind
|
|
Market In
|
Land Ltd
|
|
Sea Ltd
|
Land Ltd
|
|
Sea Ltd
|
Market In
|
|
0.021429
|
-0.04
|
|
0.046526
|
-0.04
|
|
0.046526
|
0.021429
|
|
0.015734
|
-0.0625
|
|
0.059277
|
-0.0625
|
|
0.059277
|
0.015734
|
|
0.022375
|
-0.03333
|
|
-0.04197
|
-0.03333
|
|
-0.04197
|
0.022375
|
|
-0.01263
|
0.045977
|
|
0.014603
|
0.045977
|
|
0.014603
|
-0.01263
|
|
-0.01654
|
0.054945
|
|
0.043178
|
0.054945
|
|
0.043178
|
-0.01654
|
|
0.042822
|
-0.03125
|
|
0.048565
|
-0.03125
|
|
0.048565
|
0.042822
|
|
0.01995
|
-0.04301
|
|
-0.07895
|
-0.04301
|
|
-0.07895
|
0.01995
|
|
-0.01059
|
0.089888
|
|
0.035429
|
0.089888
|
|
0.035429
|
-0.01059
|
|
0.021417
|
0.051546
|
|
0.041391
|
0.051546
|
|
0.041391
|
0.021417
|
|
0.023387
|
-0.05392
|
|
0.020138
|
-0.05392
|
|
0.020138
|
0.023387
|
|
-0.03231
|
0.082902
|
|
-0.09091
|
0.082902
|
|
-0.09091
|
-0.03231
|
|
0.017101
|
-0.03828
|
|
0.035429
|
-0.03828
|
|
0.035429
|
0.017101
|
|
0.031225
|
-0.04975
|
|
0.048565
|
-0.04975
|
|
0.048565
|
0.031225
|
|
0.018634
|
-0.05236
|
|
0.013158
|
-0.05236
|
|
0.013158
|
0.018634
|
|
-0.02591
|
0.077348
|
|
0.012987
|
0.077348
|
|
0.012987
|
-0.02591
|
|
-0.02817
|
0.082051
|
|
0.025641
|
0.082051
|
|
0.025641
|
-0.02817
|
|
0.02657
|
-0.04265
|
|
0.0525
|
-0.04265
|
|
0.0525
|
0.02657
|
|
0.018039
|
-0.0396
|
|
0.045131
|
-0.0396
|
|
0.045131
|
0.018039
|
|
0.016949
|
-0.02577
|
|
0.022727
|
-0.02577
|
|
0.022727
|
0.016949
|
|
-0.01667
|
0.05291
|
|
-0.02667
|
0.05291
|
|
-0.02667
|
-0.01667
|
|
-0.01618
|
0.050251
|
|
-0.07306
|
0.050251
|
|
-0.07306
|
-0.01618
|
|
0.018011
|
0.052632
|
|
0.068966
|
0.052632
|
|
0.068966
|
0.018011
|
|
0.023846
|
0.031818
|
|
0.0553
|
0.031818
|
|
0.0553
|
0.023846
|
|
0.01728
|
0.035242
|
|
0.052402
|
0.035242
|
|
0.052402
|
0.01728
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-0.78049
|
|
|
-0.17245
|
|
|
0.441509
|
|
|
Question 4: Determine the expected return and standard deviation of two-asset portfolios comprised of Sea Ltd and Land Ltd. Assume equal weightings of each share within the portfolio. Interpret your results and comment and illustrate the impact on risk when combining shares into a portfolio.
Total Returns
|
|
0.19577186
|
0.195078746
|
0.43035786
|
Average Returns
|
|
0.00815716
|
0.008128281
|
0.01793158
|
Standard Deviation
|
|
0.0214339
|
0.054095713
|
0.04594971
|
Covariance of return
|
|
-0.00086726
|
-0.00041079
|
0.00041672
|
Correlation coefficients
|
-0.78049196
|
-0.17244605
|
0.44150908
|
Question 5: Determine the systematic risk (Beta) for both shares. Interpret your answers. The use of excel functions should be used to calculate Beta.
Question 6: Assuming a risk-free rate of 3% and market risk premium of 12%. Calculate the required return for both shares. If the growth in dividends is expected to continuously average 2%, what value would you place on each share (use the dividend growth model). What concerns do you have in regards to your valuations?