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Question: The manager of the Petroco Service Station wants to forecast the demand for unleaded gasoline next month so that the proper number of gallons can be ordered from the distributor. The owner has accumulated the following data on demand for unleaded gasoline from sales during the past ten months:
Month
Gasoline Demanded (gal.)
October
800
November
725
December
630
January
500
February
645
March
690
April
730
May
810
June
1,200
July
980
[A] Compare the two forecasts by using MAPD and indicate which seems to be more accurate.[B] Calculate an adjusted exponentially smoothed forecast [with alpha = .30 and beta = .20].
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