Better estimate of demand

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A manufacturing company must decide whether to manufacture a component part. The consulting profit is dependent upon the demand for the product. The following show the projected profit ( in thousands of dollars).

Low demand

Medium demand

High demand

Decision Alternative

S1

S2

S3

Manufacture, d1

-20

40

100

Purchase, d2

10

45

70

P(S1)= 0.35

P(S2)=0.35

P(S3)=0.3

1) Use EVPI to determine whether the company should attempt to obtain a better estimate of demand.

2) A market study of the potential demand for the product is expected to report a favorable (F) or unfavorable (U) condition

P(F|S1)=0.1

P(F|S2)=0.4

P(F|S3)=0.6

what is the probability that the market research report will be favorable?

3) What is the expected value of sample information (EVSI)?

Please only type answer on word document 

Reference no: EM131115802

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