Arguments grounded in evidence from suitably authoritative

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Question No: 1

Your brief is to choose a sector of the economy and forecast how you think it will have changed by 2050, and why.

This could be housing, energy, transport, construction, agriculture, manufacturing, telecommunications, tourism, or any other sector which you have a particular interest in. You do not need to cover the sector in its entirety if you feel there is a specific issue that you want to explore in detail. You may cover the sector from a local, national or international perspective, but generally, the more focused the scope of your coverage is the better your work will be.

You should cover the current greenhouse gas emissions and forecast how and why you think these will change by 2050. You can do this quantitatively, qualitatively, or a mix of both. You should cover how you think it will have changed or want it to change by 2050, why, and what will be needed to achieve those changes. You can be as optimistic or pessimistic as you like, but explain why and support your arguments with lots of evidence. You might also want to comment on how realistic or not you think your vision of the future is, and what the alternatives might be.

Think about what technologies are around now and what might be available by 2050, and don't forget that different technologies take different lengths of time to be adopted, and may be adopted at different rates in different parts of the world. Also think about influences such as resource constraints, human behaviour, and politics. You do not need to address all of these and you may propose changes that are more or less radical, but keep your arguments grounded in evidence from suitably authoritative sources, whether that evidence is about what is needed, what is possible, what is realistic, or what a worst-case scenario would look like.

Reference no: EM133204517

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