Solution-Appropriate forecast model for the bank

Appropriate forecast model for the bank

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Reference no: EM13960616

The consumer loan department at Central Union bank and Trust wants to develop a forecasting model to help determine its potential loan application volume for the coming year. Because adjustable-rate home mortgages are based on government long-term treasury not rates, the department collected the following data for 3- t 5 year Treasury note interest rate for the past 24 years

Year Rate Year Rate Year Rate

1	5.77	9	9.71	17	7.68
2	5.85	10	11.55	18	8.26
3	6.92	11	14.44	19	8.55
4	7.82	12	12.92	20	8.26
5	7.49	13	10.45	21	6.80
6	6.67	14	11.89	22	6.12
7	6.69	15	9.64	23	5.48
8	8.29	16	7.06	24	6.09

Develop an appropriate forecast model for the bank to use to forecast Treasury note rates in the future and indicate how accurate it appears to be compared to historical data.

Reference no: EM13960616

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Appropriate forecast model for the bank

Reference no: EM13960616

Reference no: EM13960616

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