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An oil and gas investor is considering the acquisition of two fields. Both fields have the same production profiles: • production starts in 2013 and averages 250 barrels of oil per day (bopd) during that year • the production ramps up and reaches a plateau production rate of 1,000 bopd in 2015
• the field is abandoned at the end of the year where the average production is lower than 250 bopd Both fields have the same cost profiles: • over the life of the field, the capex represents $10 dollars per barrel produced • 25% of the capex is spent in 2011, 40% is spent in 2012 and 35% is spent in 2013 (the capex is fully depreciated when spent) • opex represents $15 per barrel produced, in the year these are produced The investor's cash flow in both cases is defined as: + Field Revenue - Field Costs = Field Cash Flow - Taxes = Investor Cash Flow The taxes are calculated as follows: * Field 1 Tax = 30% of Field Cash Flow * Field 2 Tax = 20% of Field Revenues Which investment is more attractive at an oil price of: * $35 per barrel * $70 per barrel What is the oil price, within the $35 to $70 per barrel range, where: * the undiscounted Investor Cash Flow of both fields is equivalent * the discounted Investor Cash Flow, using a 15% discount rate, of both fields is equivalent Present your analysis or though process.
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